Nationals (+132) at Dodgers (-151)
Over/Under: 7.0 (-125/+105)

Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 51.24%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 52.66%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Nationals791
Dodgers371
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Oct 09, 2019 10:30:39 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 48.76%
Prob Home Team Wins: 51.24%
Average Comb Score: 7.83
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.86
Prob Over: 47.34%
Prob Under: 52.66%

Nationals Forecasted to Lose at Home to Dodgers Despite Anthony Rendon's Effort

Wed, Oct 9, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License

October 9, 2019 -- On the road, the Nationals has a 50.87% chance to lose to the Dodgers from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Nationals, Stephen Strasburg, will be paired with the hosting Dodgers's pitcher Walker Buehler. The Snoozle model estimates the Nationals pitcher will have an outing for 6.984 innings, allowing 1.827 earned runs, with 2.782 walks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Walker Buehler will have 2.072 earned runs, a predicted 22.326 outs, and 6.059 strike outs.

Sluggers Anthony Rendon from the Nationals and Will Smith from the Dodgers will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.263 with 0.518 RBIs and 0.598 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Will Smith is predicted to have 0.544 RBIs and score 0.428 runs over an estimated 3.583 at-bats.

According to the +140 ML away odds and an predicted 49.13% chance to win, the Nationals are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 51.38% over estimate and -102 line odds for 7.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, October 9, 2019 13:01:31 UTC


Nationals Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner (SS)4.480.541.120.330.320.2440.2950.408
Adam Eaton (RF)4.190.490.960.290.410.2260.3030.346
Anthony Rendon (3B)4.010.611.100.550.510.2680.3580.505
Juan Soto (LF)3.830.520.910.570.650.2330.3440.454
Howie Kendrick (2B)4.070.441.180.640.290.2850.3370.474
Ryan Zimmerman (1B)3.970.320.850.410.330.2090.2690.338
Kurt Suzuki (C)3.890.350.860.500.230.2160.2710.399
Michael Taylor (CF)3.800.230.760.220.250.1950.2430.286
Stephen Strasburg (P)3.770.170.490.170.140.1270.1550.163

Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Joc Pederson (RF)4.220.610.900.460.410.2070.2890.449
Max Muncy (2B)3.930.570.830.420.620.2070.3220.427
Justin Turner (3B)4.030.501.000.440.370.2430.3200.424
Cody Bellinger (CF)3.820.551.000.620.560.2570.3530.533
Matt Beaty (1B)4.040.350.910.450.230.2200.2660.384
Corey Seager (SS)3.860.340.870.390.300.2200.2790.388
Enrique Hernandez (LF)3.780.300.750.380.270.1930.2520.336
Will Smith (C)3.580.430.760.530.320.2090.2870.473
Walker Buehler (P)3.620.160.360.120.210.0960.1430.128

Nationals Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Stephen Strasburg22.676.612.750.371.806.9948.84%

Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Walker Buehler22.336.032.570.252.066.9050.70%

2019-10-09 -- Nationals at Dodgers

Thu, Oct 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Nationals Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner (SS)4000.2860.3480.429
Adam Eaton (RF)4100.1880.3810.188
Anthony Rendon (3B)5310.4120.4550.765
Juan Soto (LF)4220.2780.4090.611
Howie Kendrick (2B)5140.2500.2860.400
Ryan Zimmerman (1B)5000.2860.2860.571
Kurt Suzuki (C)1000.0000.3080.000
Michael Taylor (CF)5000.3330.3850.333
Stephen Strasburg (P)1000.0000.2500.000

Dodgers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Joc Pederson (RF)4100.2670.3530.600
Max Muncy (2B)5120.2630.3910.737
Justin Turner (3B)3000.2860.3330.667
Cody Bellinger (CF)4000.2110.2860.263
Matt Beaty (1B)3000.3750.3750.375
Corey Seager (SS)4000.1500.1900.200
Enrique Hernandez (LF)4110.4290.5001.000
Will Smith (C)4000.0770.2500.077
Walker Buehler (P)2000.0000.0000.000