Cardinals (-106) at Braves (-111)
Over/Under: 7.5 (-129/+109)

Game Pick: Cardinals (Probablity Correct: 58.23%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 53.00%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Cardinals13110
Braves162
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Oct 09, 2019 04:31:08 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 58.23%
Prob Home Team Wins: 41.77%
Average Comb Score: 7.74
Median Comb Score: 7.00
Std Comb Score: 3.92
Prob Over: 47.00%
Prob Under: 53.00%

Braves Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Cardinals Despite Freddie Freeman's Effort

Wed, Oct 9, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jack Flaherty
Minda Haas Kuhlmann from Omaha License

October 9, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Braves are predicted with a 59.09% to lose at home against the Cardinals.

On the mound for the Braves will be Mike Foltynewicz paired against Jack Flaherty. Mike Foltynewicz is estimated from the model to throw for 6.706 innings, allowing 2.267 earned runs, with 6.419 Ks. The Cardinals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.724 outs, allow 1.764 earned runs, and a 0.032 probability of a complete game.

Freddie Freeman, Braves's top hitter, will slug it out against Marcell Ozuna in today's game. The Braves's Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to score 0.487 runs, 0.480 RBIs and have a 0.322 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Marcell Ozuna is predicted to bat for 0.232 with 0.626 RBIs and 0.528 runs scored.

For this game the Cardinals are the best value on the money line bets with on the -115 away odds and a predicted 59.09% likelihood to win. With a predicted 53.12% likelihood and -110 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, October 9, 2019 13:01:31 UTC


Cardinals Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Dexter Fowler (CF)4.270.580.970.380.620.2220.3280.380
Kolten Wong (2B)4.320.521.170.390.410.2650.3400.395
Paul Goldschmidt (1B)4.200.551.040.590.520.2410.3230.441
Marcell Ozuna (LF)4.110.540.970.640.510.2300.3140.455
Yadier Molina (C)4.260.421.080.470.220.2490.2920.371
Matt Carpenter (3B)3.810.430.810.400.540.2080.3130.360
Tommy Edman (RF)4.040.411.180.530.190.2870.3310.470
Paul DeJong (SS)3.740.400.820.500.380.2140.2980.408
Jack Flaherty (P)3.810.220.680.190.160.1740.2010.209

Braves Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. (CF)4.190.520.950.400.420.2230.2980.419
Ozzie Albies (2B)4.230.431.000.320.290.2300.2820.390
Freddie Freeman (1B)3.920.480.940.460.490.2330.3220.433
Josh Donaldson (3B)3.750.460.790.490.560.2060.3140.420
Nick Markakis (RF)3.870.310.880.340.360.2220.2890.327
Adam Duvall (LF)3.920.400.830.580.180.2070.2500.439
Brian McCann (C)3.700.280.720.330.320.1900.2560.318
Dansby Swanson (SS)3.590.270.710.270.300.1910.2580.321
Mike Foltynewicz (P)3.730.130.520.110.000.1350.1330.163

Cardinals Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Jack Flaherty22.986.522.510.211.697.1158.49%

Braves Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Mike Foltynewicz21.856.432.810.352.276.7241.01%

2019-10-09 -- Cardinals at Braves

Thu, Oct 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Cardinals Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Dexter Fowler (CF)5220.0910.1670.136
Kolten Wong (2B)3220.2500.3180.400
Paul Goldschmidt (1B)5100.4290.4780.905
Marcell Ozuna (LF)4210.4290.4780.857
Yadier Molina (C)5100.1430.1740.143
Matt Carpenter (3B)0110.2000.4440.200
Tommy Edman (RF)5220.3160.3810.579
Paul DeJong (SS)4120.2220.3000.278
Jack Flaherty (P)3110.0000.1670.000

Braves Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Ronald Acuna Jr. (CF)2000.4440.5650.889
Ozzie Albies (2B)4000.2500.3040.400
Freddie Freeman (1B)4000.2000.2730.400
Josh Donaldson (3B)4110.1580.2730.368
Nick Markakis (RF)4000.1430.1820.190
Adam Duvall (LF)4000.2730.3330.545
Brian McCann (C)3000.1880.2350.250
Dansby Swanson (SS)4000.3890.4210.556
Mike Foltynewicz (P)0000.0000.0000.000