Rays (-125) at Rangers (+115)
Over/Under: 9.0 (-115/-105)

Game Pick: Rays (Probablity Correct: 69.59%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 78.27%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Rays5101
Rangers352
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 10, 2019 08:31:56 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 69.59%
Prob Home Team Wins: 30.41%
Average Comb Score: 6.88
Median Comb Score: 6.00
Std Comb Score: 3.67
Prob Over: 21.73%
Prob Under: 78.27%

The Visiting Rays with Top Predicted Hitter Travis d'Arnaud Expected Winner Over the Rangers

Tue, Sep 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Ryan Yarbrough pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2018
Bryan Green License

September 10, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Ryan Yarbrough and Lance Lynn, the Rays has an predicted 77.28% chance for a road over the Rangers.

Likely starting pitcher for the Rays, Ryan Yarbrough, will be paired with the hosting Rangers's pitcher Lance Lynn. The Rays starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 24.092 outs, allow 0.991 earned runs, and a 0.091 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Rangers pitcher will have an outing for 6.758 innings, allowing 2.299 earned runs, with a 2.601 walk.

Sluggers Travis d'Arnaud from the Rays and Willie Calhoun from the Rangers will lead the their teams from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Travis d'Arnaud is predicted to bat for 0.240 with 0.768 RBIs and 0.527 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Willie Calhoun NA is predicted to have 0.397 RBIs and score 0.354 runs over an estimated 4.067 at-bats.

For this game the Rays are the best value on the money line bets with on the -125 away odds and a predicted 77.28% likelihood to win. The over/under line of 9.0 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 82.17% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, September 10, 2019 13:05:00 UTC


Rays Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Joey Wendle (3B)4.560.460.990.300.220.2120.2750.298
Austin Meadows (LF)4.400.641.220.680.390.2720.3380.525
Avisail Garcia (RF)4.410.501.150.560.270.2570.3070.429
Nathaniel Lowe (DH)4.180.541.100.580.390.2590.3310.458
Ji-Man Choi (1B)3.930.460.940.470.540.2330.3340.385
Willy Adames (SS)4.060.410.990.470.330.2390.2960.390
Kean Wong (2B)3.950.380.940.410.320.2330.2940.369
Guillermo Heredia (CF)3.750.360.770.330.330.2010.2830.318
Michael Perez (C)3.730.380.980.330.310.2580.3180.371

Rangers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Shin-Soo Choo (DH)3.990.400.820.260.420.2010.2890.346
Elvis Andrus (SS)4.200.280.860.210.170.1990.2330.288
Willie Calhoun (LF)4.090.390.830.460.180.1980.2360.401
Nick Solak (3B)3.650.330.920.290.400.2470.3430.382
Danny Santana (RF)3.980.300.860.460.110.2120.2370.396
Rougned Odor (2B)3.700.250.540.290.270.1420.2050.298
Logan Forsythe (1B)3.500.180.600.190.360.1670.2460.257
Delino DeShields Jr. (CF)3.410.160.620.170.300.1770.2460.248
Jeff Mathis (C)3.490.120.360.100.140.0990.1330.139

Rays Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Ryan Yarbrough23.877.852.020.331.347.4069.76%

Rangers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Lance Lynn21.860.612.440.502.376.7330.10%

Danny Santana's Stick is Not Enough to Pull the Rangers Over the Rays, 3-5

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Danny Santana
Keith Allison on Flickr License

September 10, 2019 -- Despite valiant effort from Danny Santana at the plate, the Rangers could not beat the Rays.

In the loss at home, Danny Santana was not able to help the Rangers get the run needed against the Rays. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. He had a 0.311 OBP with 4 at bats. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Danny Santana had a 0.531 slugging percentage. The Rangers' top hitter contributed 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.283.

Lance Lynn's pitching start could not pull out the win for the Rangers. He pitched for 7 Ks. A 3.72 ERA and 0.306 OBP in the appearance against Rays. The Rangers starter allowed 4 hits and 3 walks. The pitcher allowed 1 earned runs over 7.0 innings pitched.

Willie Calhoun led the Rangers in a losing team performance against the Rays. In the game, he had a 0.273 batting average. His team's best hitter had 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the game. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Rays. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.542 slugging percentage.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 13:04:53 UTC


Rays Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Joey Wendle (3B)5110.2310.2910.333
Austin Meadows (LF)3120.2890.3580.561
Avisail Garcia (RF)3000.2740.3270.456
Nathaniel Lowe (DH)5100.2750.3410.483
Ji-Man Choi (1B)5000.2550.3530.418
Willy Adames (SS)5100.2480.3110.402
Kean Wong (2B)5000.2500.2500.250
Guillermo Heredia (CF)5110.2240.3060.349
Michael Perez (C)3000.2380.3470.357

Rangers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Shin-Soo Choo (DH)4100.2630.3660.450
Elvis Andrus (SS)5000.2730.3120.393
Willie Calhoun (LF)5110.2730.3150.542
Nick Solak (3B)5120.3330.4460.536
Danny Santana (RF)4000.2830.3110.531
Rougned Odor (2B)2000.2030.2830.421
Logan Forsythe (1B)3170390.2270.0000.000
Delino DeShields Jr. (CF)4000.2460.3280.345
Jeff Mathis (C)4000.1580.2090.224