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Tigers (+260) at Rays (-300)
Over/Under: 8.5 (-110/-110)

Game Pick: Rays (Probablity Correct: 87.70%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 55.03%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Tigers030
Rays160
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 17, 2019 06:31:51 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 12.30%
Prob Home Team Wins: 87.70%
Average Comb Score: 9.53
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.58
Prob Over: 55.03%
Prob Under: 44.97%

Rays Led By Pitcher Ryan Yarbrough at Home Expected to Beat the Tigers

Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Matt Boyd, Jordan Zimmermann and Shane Greene of the Detroit Tigers at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in April 2019.
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License

August 17, 2019 -- The Rays have a 87.50% chance of winning at home against the Tigers according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

The hosting Rays have Ryan Yarbrough in the rotation against the Tigers's pitcher Jordan Zimmermann. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Ryan Yarbrough will have 1.403 earned runs, a predicted 23.927 outs, and 7.711 strike outs. The Snoozle model estimates the Tigers pitcher will have an outing for 5.971 innings, allowing 3.664 earned runs, with 3.329 walks.

Travis d'Arnaud, Rays's top hitter, will slug it out against Jake Rogers in today's game. Based on the Snoozle model, Travis d'Arnaud is predicted to have 1.103 RBIs and score 1.021 run over an estimated 4.867 at-bats. Jake Rogers is forecast to bring in 0.326 RBIs and 0.284 runs scored, with an 0.242 OBP and 1.147 Ks.

The Rays are the best value for the money line based on the -300 odds and a predicted 87.50% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 56.52% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 8.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC


Tigers Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Victor Reyes (CF)4.200.230.920.150.220.2130.2500.293
Dawel Lugo (3B)4.170.170.680.170.100.1590.1860.216
Miguel Cabrera (DH)3.920.260.870.240.280.2180.2740.307
Niko Goodrum (2B)3.800.260.740.260.330.1910.2550.315
Brandon Dixon (LF)3.840.300.790.390.170.1990.2360.363
John Hicks (1B)3.790.210.560.220.130.1440.1710.241
Travis Demeritte (RF)3.460.260.760.230.310.2120.2760.339
Jake Rogers (C)3.280.280.530.310.360.1540.2370.314
Jordy Mercer (SS)3.390.230.670.230.120.1920.2250.315

Rays Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Eric Sogard (2B)4.790.961.660.710.570.3400.4110.540
Thomas Pham (LF)4.450.921.420.710.790.3120.4200.523
Austin Meadows (RF)4.580.881.540.990.540.3290.4060.605
Jesus Aguilar (DH)4.280.741.150.720.730.2630.3720.435
Ji-Man Choi (1B)4.210.751.290.780.700.3000.4060.485
Matt Duffy (3B)4.320.631.500.620.520.3410.4110.413
Kevin Kiermaier (CF)4.420.631.330.870.310.2940.3410.515
Willy Adames (SS)4.160.661.250.760.430.2930.3620.484
Mike Zunino (C)4.050.620.900.620.400.2180.2970.427

Tigers Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Jordan Zimmermann19.446.823.640.293.815.9512.04%

Rays Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Ryan Yarbrough24.137.971.770.141.317.4987.33%

Hurler Ryan Yarbrough Leads Rays Over Tigers, 1-0

Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Ryan Yarbrough pitching for the Tampa Bay Rays in 2018
Bryan Green License

August 17, 2019 -- The Rays slip by the visiting Tigers in a 1-0 win.

The Ryan Yarbrough start helped keep the Tigers hitters at bay. A 3.34 ERA and 0.254 OBP in the appearance against Tigers. The Rays starter allowed 3 hits and 0 walks. He gave up 0 earned runs over 6.1 innings pitched. Throwing 65 strikes in a 83 pitch outing for 10 strikeouts.

Travis Demeritte led the Tigers in hitting against the Rays's pitching. He had a 0.344 OBP with 4 at bats. He had a 0.268 batting average in the game. The Tigers hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing.

Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 02:31:35 UTC


Tigers Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Victor Reyes (CF)5000.2610.3050.360
Dawel Lugo (3B)4000.2270.2610.305
Miguel Cabrera (DH)5000.2780.3390.390
Niko Goodrum (2B)5000.2490.3220.416
Brandon Dixon (LF)5000.2570.2990.463
John Hicks (1B)5000.2040.2390.345
Travis Demeritte (RF)4000.2680.3440.429
Jake Rogers (C)4000.1520.2780.413
Jordy Mercer (SS)4000.2490.2900.410

Rays Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Eric Sogard (2B)6100.3060.3730.502
Thomas Pham (LF)4000.2660.3670.445
Austin Meadows (RF)4000.2780.3500.517
Jesus Aguilar (DH)2000.3510.4320.432
Ji-Man Choi (1B)5000.2570.3510.415
Matt Duffy (3B)5000.2700.3330.324
Kevin Kiermaier (CF)5000.2440.2860.425
Willy Adames (SS)5000.2470.3100.407
Mike Zunino (C)3000.1700.2420.332