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Padres (-110) at Phillies (-100)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-115/-105)

Game Pick: Phillies (Probablity Correct: 53.59%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 50.08%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Padres5120
Phillies360
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 17, 2019 08:32:07 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 46.41%
Prob Home Team Wins: 53.59%
Average Comb Score: 10.12
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.67
Prob Over: 50.08%
Prob Under: 49.92%

Corey Dickerson's Stick is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Phillies Over the Underdog Padres

Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

James Norwood
License

August 17, 2019 -- The Phillies have a 50.23% likelihood to fall to the Padres with a based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Zach Eflin and Dinelson Lamet duel it out for the Phillies and Padres, respectively. The Phillies starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.310 outs, allow 2.571 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game. Dinelson Lamet is estimated to have 2.512 earned runs, 21.612 outs, and 5.827 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Corey Dickerson and Eric Hosmer from Phillies and Padres, respectively. Corey Dickerson is forecast to bat for 0.305 with 0.784 RBIs and 0.569 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Eric Hosmer 1B is predicted to bat for 0.290 with 0.618 RBIs and 0.540 runs scored.

There is no best value for Padres -110 at Phillies -100 matchup based on our model's game predictions. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 54.20% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC


Padres Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Manuel Margot (CF)4.430.641.110.470.530.2450.3260.418
Josh Naylor (LF)4.490.611.180.560.380.2560.3140.433
Manny Machado (3B)4.280.611.170.650.450.2670.3410.476
Eric Hosmer (1B)4.320.541.260.590.320.2860.3360.457
Francisco Mejia (C)4.220.491.230.600.260.2860.3370.452
Hunter Renfroe (RF)4.070.570.970.770.370.2340.2980.540
Ty France (2B)4.000.360.940.370.160.2300.2870.353
Luis Urias (SS)3.350.380.600.210.680.1750.3400.254
Dinelson Lamet (P)3.680.370.800.360.270.2100.2600.331

Phillies Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Rhys Hoskins (1B)4.070.800.980.460.870.2350.3770.471
Bryce Harper (RF)4.110.751.060.560.770.2520.3730.491
J.T. Realmuto (C)4.430.631.250.640.340.2760.3300.481
Corey Dickerson (LF)4.560.611.370.820.110.2940.3130.528
Jean Segura (SS)4.260.511.220.560.250.2800.3280.428
Cesar Hernandez (2B)4.160.471.200.460.260.2820.3310.402
Scott Kingery (3B)3.990.531.100.560.310.2690.3300.489
Adam Haseley (CF)4.000.451.100.540.130.2680.3110.425
Zach Eflin (P)4.040.401.000.530.000.2410.2360.354

Padres Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Dinelson Lamet21.186.352.390.362.796.5146.03%

Phillies Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Zach Eflin21.487.172.670.402.486.6151.59%

Phillies Fall to Padres Despite Rhys Hoskins's Effort, 3-5

Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Philadelphia Phillies player Rhys Hoskins
Ian D'Andrea License

August 17, 2019 -- The Phillies lose at home against the Padres, 3 to 5.

Slugger Rhys Hoskins could not pull out the Phillies home win over the Padres's pitching. The Phillies hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. He had a 0.380 OBP with 3 at bats. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. He had a game batting average of 0.240. The team's leading slugger had a 0.481 slugging percentage in the game.

Manny Machado 3B led the Padres led in hitting against the Phillies's pitching. The Padres hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. He had a 0.334 OBP with 5 at bats. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 0.474 slugging percentage in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.264.

Slugger Hunter Renfroe offense on the road helped the Padres over the Phillies's pitching. His batting average was 0.238 in the game. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Hunter Renfroe had a 0.543 slugging percentage. The hitter gave up 0 Ks.

Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 02:31:35 UTC


Padres Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Manuel Margot (CF)5110.2450.3230.412
Josh Naylor (LF)3020.2550.3190.434
Manny Machado (3B)5000.2640.3340.474
Eric Hosmer (1B)5100.2900.3360.456
Francisco Mejia (C)5000.2780.3250.439
Hunter Renfroe (RF)3100.2380.3000.543
Ty France (2B)4110.2290.2810.343
Luis Urias (SS)4010.1810.3360.255
Dinelson Lamet (P)2100.0830.0830.083

Phillies Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Rhys Hoskins (1B)3000.2400.3800.481
Bryce Harper (RF)4000.2520.3720.491
J.T. Realmuto (C)4110.2820.3330.489
Corey Dickerson (LF)4000.3080.3510.562
Jean Segura (SS)3100.2830.3310.428
Cesar Hernandez (2B)4000.2810.3290.397
Scott Kingery (3B)4110.2710.3310.494
Adam Haseley (CF)4000.2570.2990.406
Zach Eflin (P)1010.1710.1710.171