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Orioles (+290) at Red Sox (-330)
Over/Under: 11.0 (+100/-120)

Game Pick: Red Sox (Probablity Correct: 65.45%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 59.37%) CORRECT

FinalRHE
Orioles050
Red Sox470
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 17, 2019 08:31:28 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 34.55%
Prob Home Team Wins: 65.45%
Average Comb Score: 10.87
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.85
Prob Over: 40.63%
Prob Under: 59.37%

Orioles Forecasted to Lose at Home to Red Sox Despite Trey Mancini's Effort

Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Trey Mancini
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 17, 2019 -- The Orioles has an estimated 66.28% likelihood to lose to the Red Sox based on our model.

Likely visiting starter Asher Wojciechowski will will duel it out with the Red Sox probable starter Eduardo Rodriguez. The Snoozle model estimates the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 6.260 innings, allowing 3.271 earned runs, with 3.014 walks. Our model forecasts the Red Sox pitcher will have an outing for 6.790 innings, allowing 2.227 earned runs, with a 2.602 walks.

Trey Mancini, Orioles's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Rafael Devers in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Trey Mancini is predicted to bat for 0.263 with 0.644 RBIs and 0.633 runs scored. The Red Sox's Rafael Devers is estimated to score 0.843 runs, 0.773 RBIs and have a 0.372 OBP.

The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +290 odds and a forecasted 33.72% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.85% over estimate and +100 line odds for 10.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC


Orioles Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Hanser Alberto (3B)4.690.561.450.370.140.3030.3260.407
Trey Mancini (1B)4.300.661.160.620.410.2640.3320.523
Anthony Santander (RF)4.350.541.250.570.270.2800.3230.474
Renato Nunez (DH)4.150.551.020.650.330.2400.3030.470
Jonathan Villar (2B)4.010.451.070.470.390.2590.3270.418
Pedro Severino (C)3.870.441.010.500.400.2550.3300.422
DJ Stewart (LF)3.840.370.760.390.320.1930.2650.338
Stephen Wilkerson (CF)3.870.400.880.450.190.2200.2640.395
Richie Martin (SS)3.700.320.690.270.220.1810.2360.278

Red Sox Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Mookie Betts (RF)4.410.851.240.600.780.2740.3820.487
Rafael Devers (3B)4.710.831.540.790.370.3210.3720.568
Xander Bogaerts (SS)4.410.781.340.810.570.2980.3770.554
J.D. Martinez (DH)4.330.721.350.880.500.3050.3790.550
Andrew Benintendi (LF)4.240.601.240.640.470.2860.3610.470
Christian Vazquez (C)4.380.571.210.740.270.2690.3110.462
Mitch Moreland (1B)4.030.630.960.710.510.2320.3150.511
Brock Holt (2B)3.890.521.210.400.450.3020.3840.413
Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF)3.780.540.830.470.430.2140.3080.381

Orioles Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Asher Wojciechowski20.286.263.260.223.336.2233.81%

Red Sox Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Eduardo Rodriguez22.006.692.140.302.296.7863.45%

Mookie Betts's Stick Not Enough for the Orioles Against the Red Sox, 0-4

Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Mookie Betts
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 17, 2019 -- The visiting Orioles lose to the Red Sox, 0 to 4.

Top Red Sox hitter Mookie Betts's presence helped for win at home over Orioles's pitching. He gave up 0 Ks in the game. He had a game batting average of 0.284. The Red Sox' top hitter contributed 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. The team's leading slugger had a 0.503 slugging percentage in the game.

Rafael Devers 3B led the Red Sox in hitting against the Orioles's pitching. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Orioles. The Red Sox hitter had 2 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. He had a 0.376 OBP with 4 at bats. The hitter had a 0.584 slugging in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.327.

Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 02:31:35 UTC


Orioles Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Hanser Alberto (3B)4000.3180.3390.425
Trey Mancini (1B)3000.2770.3450.537
Anthony Santander (RF)4000.2870.3270.490
Renato Nunez (DH)4000.2420.3080.473
Jonathan Villar (2B)3000.2710.3400.438
Pedro Severino (C)4000.2580.3320.428
DJ Stewart (LF)4000.1210.1470.121
Stephen Wilkerson (CF)2000.2250.2710.401
Richie Martin (SS)3000.1910.2470.290

Red Sox Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Mookie Betts (RF)3100.2840.3900.503
Rafael Devers (3B)4120.3270.3760.584
Xander Bogaerts (SS)4000.3080.3840.561
J.D. Martinez (DH)3000.3070.3820.559
Andrew Benintendi (LF)3000.2890.3630.473
Christian Vazquez (C)4000.2770.3150.476
Mitch Moreland (1B)4000.2310.3110.508
Brock Holt (2B)1110.3180.3920.446
Jackie Bradley Jr. (CF)3100.2210.3150.396