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Indians (+140) at Yankees (-150)
Over/Under: 10.5 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Indians (Probablity Correct: 59.75%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 52.40%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indians | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Yankees | 6 | 8 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 17, 2019 02:31:09 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 59.75%
Prob Home Team Wins: 40.25%
Average Comb Score: 10.68
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.80
Prob Over: 47.60%
Prob Under: 52.40%
Yankees Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Indians Despite Giovanny Urshela's Effort
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License
August 17, 2019 -- The Yankees have a 61.49% likelihood to fall to the Indians with a based on our model.
Likely starting pitcher James Paxton for the Yankees will be matched up with the Indians probable starter Zach Plesac. The Yankees starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.550 outs, allow 3.127 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle model estimates the Indians pitcher will have an outing for 6.703 innings, allowing 2.337 earned runs, with 2.664 walks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Giovanny Urshela and Carlos Santana from Yankees and Indians, respectively. According to our game model, Giovanny Urshela is estimated to bring in 0.658 RBIs and 0.571 run scored, with an 0.340 OBP and 0.750 Ks. According to our game model, Carlos Santana 1B is estimated to have 0.756 RBIs and score 0.827 runs over an estimated 4.037 at-bats.
With +145 money line odds and a estimated 61.49% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Indians over the Indians. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 10.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC
Indians Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (SS) | 4.68 | 0.84 | 1.49 | 0.67 | 0.42 | 0.313 | 0.371 | 0.538 |
| Oscar Mercado (LF) | 4.66 | 0.70 | 1.35 | 0.59 | 0.28 | 0.284 | 0.330 | 0.450 |
| Carlos Santana (1B) | 4.02 | 0.82 | 1.24 | 0.77 | 0.90 | 0.301 | 0.428 | 0.576 |
| Yasiel Puig (RF) | 4.41 | 0.67 | 1.48 | 0.88 | 0.35 | 0.328 | 0.384 | 0.574 |
| Jose Ramirez (3B) | 4.20 | 0.56 | 1.11 | 0.74 | 0.49 | 0.259 | 0.337 | 0.476 |
| Franmil Reyes (DH) | 4.36 | 0.49 | 0.97 | 0.66 | 0.24 | 0.217 | 0.258 | 0.407 |
| Jason Kipnis (2B) | 4.05 | 0.51 | 1.08 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.260 | 0.325 | 0.420 |
| Kevin Plawecki (C) | 3.91 | 0.49 | 0.91 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.227 | 0.306 | 0.351 |
| Greg Allen (CF) | 3.88 | 0.53 | 1.03 | 0.49 | 0.20 | 0.259 | 0.319 | 0.431 |
Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 4.37 | 0.60 | 0.99 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.221 | 0.299 | 0.420 |
| DJ LeMahieu (1B) | 4.42 | 0.60 | 1.35 | 0.50 | 0.32 | 0.299 | 0.348 | 0.473 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4.36 | 0.59 | 1.35 | 0.62 | 0.24 | 0.303 | 0.345 | 0.520 |
| Didi Gregorius (DH) | 4.39 | 0.46 | 1.02 | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.227 | 0.251 | 0.389 |
| Gleyber Torres (SS) | 4.04 | 0.55 | 1.03 | 0.60 | 0.37 | 0.248 | 0.311 | 0.462 |
| Cameron Maybin (RF) | 3.86 | 0.53 | 1.10 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.279 | 0.353 | 0.477 |
| Mike Tauchman (LF) | 3.76 | 0.51 | 0.99 | 0.55 | 0.45 | 0.257 | 0.336 | 0.495 |
| Austin Romine (C) | 3.98 | 0.37 | 0.96 | 0.47 | 0.13 | 0.234 | 0.257 | 0.365 |
| Thairo Estrada (2B) | 3.75 | 0.42 | 0.85 | 0.42 | 0.22 | 0.219 | 0.264 | 0.386 |
Indians Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Plesac | 21.87 | 6.01 | 2.23 | 0.10 | 2.40 | 6.74 | 59.67% |
Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paxton | 20.70 | 5.20 | 2.80 | 0.33 | 3.07 | 6.35 | 38.33% |
Indians Hurler Zach Plesac Effort Not Enough Against Yankees, 5-6
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
OF, Brett Gardner of the New York Yankees
Keith Allison License
August 17, 2019 -- The visiting Indians lose to the home town Yankees 5 to 6 in demoralizing loss.
Starting on the road, Zach Plesac's performance could not help the Indians. The pitcher allowed 0.304 OBP. Zach Plesac allowed 4 earned runs over 4.2 innings pitched. Throwing 63 strikes in a 96 pitch outing for 5 strikeouts. The Indians pitcher threw for 6 hits and 1 walk allowed.
Top Yankees hitter Brett Gardner's presence helped for win at home over Indians's pitching. He had a 0.333 OBP with 3 at bats. The Yankees hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.251.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 20:32:13 UTC
Indians Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (SS) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.300 | 0.356 | 0.515 |
| Oscar Mercado (LF) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.279 | 0.326 | 0.442 |
| Carlos Santana (1B) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0.293 | 0.414 | 0.551 |
| Yasiel Puig (RF) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.370 | 0.424 | 0.611 |
| Jose Ramirez (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.325 | 0.462 |
| Franmil Reyes (DH) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.150 | 0.172 | 0.283 |
| Jason Kipnis (2B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.253 | 0.314 | 0.408 |
| Kevin Plawecki (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.210 | 0.283 | 0.323 |
| Greg Allen (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.245 | 0.306 | 0.406 |
Yankees Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.251 | 0.333 | 0.478 |
| DJ LeMahieu (1B) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.338 | 0.386 | 0.538 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.338 | 0.379 | 0.580 |
| Didi Gregorius (DH) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.265 | 0.290 | 0.469 |
| Gleyber Torres (SS) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.284 | 0.348 | 0.537 |
| Cameron Maybin (RF) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.309 | 0.391 | 0.522 |
| Mike Tauchman (LF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.290 | 0.372 | 0.551 |
| Austin Romine (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.272 | 0.295 | 0.420 |
| Thairo Estrada (2B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.246 | 0.283 | 0.456 |