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Dodgers (-150) at Braves (+140)
Over/Under: 10.0 (-105/-115)
Game Pick: Dodgers (Probablity Correct: 75.31%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 58.26%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Braves | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 17, 2019 09:32:14 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 75.31%
Prob Home Team Wins: 24.69%
Average Comb Score: 9.99
Median Comb Score: 9.00
Std Comb Score: 4.65
Prob Over: 41.74%
Prob Under: 58.26%
The Visiting Dodgers with Top Predicted Hitter Will Smith Expected Winner Over the Braves
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Mike Foltynewicz signs autographs at a Houston sports collectors show in January 2014.
EricEnfermero License
August 17, 2019 -- According to our model, the Dodgers predicted to over perform on the road against the Braves with a 80.86% chance to win.
On the mound for the Dodgers will be Hyun-Jin Ryu matched up against Mike Foltynewicz. The Dodgers's Hyun-Jin Ryu is predicted to throw for 7.146 innings, allowing 1.613 earned runs, with 6.143 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Mike Foltynewicz will have 3.228 earned runs, a predicted 20.178 outs, and 6.287 strike outs.
Will Smith, Dodgers's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Freddie Freeman in today's game. According to our game model, Will Smith is estimated to have 1.092 RBIs and score 0.814 runs over an estimated 4.075 at-bats. According to our game model, Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to bring in 0.484 RBIs and 0.458 runs scored, with an 0.329 OBP and 0.775 Ks.
For this game Dodgers are the best value on the money line bets with on the -155 away odds and a predicted 80.86% likelihood to win. The over/under line of 10.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 58.02% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC
Dodgers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (RF) | 4.57 | 0.88 | 1.16 | 0.75 | 0.55 | 0.247 | 0.344 | 0.509 |
| Max Muncy (2B) | 4.31 | 0.91 | 1.18 | 0.74 | 0.79 | 0.268 | 0.385 | 0.544 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 4.42 | 0.84 | 1.35 | 0.72 | 0.49 | 0.299 | 0.384 | 0.525 |
| Cody Bellinger (CF) | 4.16 | 0.91 | 1.38 | 1.05 | 0.75 | 0.323 | 0.428 | 0.683 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 4.29 | 0.63 | 1.21 | 0.68 | 0.50 | 0.276 | 0.357 | 0.477 |
| Matt Beaty (LF) | 4.45 | 0.60 | 1.37 | 0.78 | 0.28 | 0.301 | 0.341 | 0.525 |
| Edwin Rios (1B) | 3.99 | 0.54 | 1.20 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 0.294 | 0.386 | 0.503 |
| Russell Martin (C) | 3.74 | 0.44 | 0.85 | 0.44 | 0.60 | 0.222 | 0.352 | 0.320 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu (P) | 3.88 | 0.33 | 0.68 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.170 | 0.233 | 0.201 |
Braves Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. (CF) | 4.16 | 0.51 | 0.98 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.230 | 0.298 | 0.422 |
| Ozzie Albies (2B) | 4.17 | 0.42 | 0.97 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.228 | 0.277 | 0.384 |
| Freddie Freeman (1B) | 3.87 | 0.47 | 0.95 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.239 | 0.324 | 0.451 |
| Josh Donaldson (3B) | 3.70 | 0.42 | 0.77 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.203 | 0.308 | 0.404 |
| Brian McCann (LF) | 3.82 | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.37 | 0.33 | 0.196 | 0.262 | 0.315 |
| Charlie Culberson (RF) | 3.92 | 0.31 | 0.92 | 0.37 | 0.13 | 0.229 | 0.257 | 0.368 |
| Tyler Flowers (C) | 3.66 | 0.29 | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.160 | 0.222 | 0.296 |
| Adeiny Hechavarria (SS) | 3.81 | 0.47 | 0.95 | 0.69 | 0.02 | 0.242 | 0.246 | 0.530 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (P) | 3.64 | 0.15 | 0.60 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.159 | 0.156 | 0.200 |
Dodgers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 23.14 | 6.26 | 2.10 | 0.20 | 1.64 | 7.15 | 75.46% |
Braves Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Foltynewicz | 20.14 | 6.15 | 3.65 | 0.45 | 3.16 | 6.17 | 23.50% |
Freddie Freeman Helps the Braves Beat the Dodgers By One Run, 4-3
Sun, Aug 18, 2019 | Emma Botos
Ozzie Albies
Thomson200 License
August 17, 2019 -- The Braves squeak by at home in a win against the Dodgers, 4 to 3.
Braves were led on hitting by Freddie Freeman. The hitter had a 0.567 slugging in the game. The hitter had a 0.399 OBP with 4 at bats. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. In the game, he had a 0.305 batting average.
Slugger Joc Pederson's performance on the bases, could not overcome Braves's defense against starter Hyun-Jin Ryu. The hitter gave up 0 Ks. Joc Pederson had a 0.328 OBP with 5 at bats. His batting average was 0.236 in the game. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs. He had a 0.483 slugging percentage in the game.
Cody Bellinger led the Dodgers in hitting against the Braves's pitching. The Dodgers hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the road outing. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.318. He had 0 Ks in the game.
Posted at Sun, August 18, 2019 03:32:32 UTC
Dodgers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (RF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.328 | 0.483 |
| Max Muncy (2B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.258 | 0.369 | 0.527 |
| Justin Turner (3B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.296 | 0.379 | 0.511 |
| Cody Bellinger (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.318 | 0.416 | 0.668 |
| Corey Seager (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.267 | 0.343 | 0.458 |
| Matt Beaty (LF) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.293 | 0.332 | 0.517 |
| Edwin Rios (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.286 | 0.419 | 0.571 |
| Russell Martin (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.213 | 0.332 | 0.308 |
| Hyun-Jin Ryu (P) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.122 | 0.200 | 0.146 |
Braves Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna Jr. (CF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.295 | 0.375 | 0.537 |
| Ozzie Albies (2B) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0.296 | 0.352 | 0.498 |
| Freddie Freeman (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.305 | 0.399 | 0.567 |
| Josh Donaldson (3B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.267 | 0.384 | 0.535 |
| Brian McCann (LF) | 235 | 0 | 39 | 0.268 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Charlie Culberson (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.293 | 0.325 | 0.474 |
| Tyler Flowers (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.223 | 0.298 | 0.408 |
| Adeiny Hechavarria (SS) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.209 | 0.259 | 0.365 |
| Mike Foltynewicz (P) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.045 | 0.045 | 0.045 |