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Cubs (-140) at Pirates (+130)
Over/Under: 10.0 (-115/-105)
Game Pick: Cubs (Probablity Correct: 65.85%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 62.17%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Pirates | 0 | 4 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 17, 2019 03:31:56 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 65.85%
Prob Home Team Wins: 34.15%
Average Comb Score: 12.59
Median Comb Score: 12.00
Std Comb Score: 5.39
Prob Over: 62.17%
Prob Under: 37.83%
Pirates Hurler Steven Brault Forecasted Loser at Home Against Cubs
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jon Lester
Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License
August 17, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Pirates have a 59.25% take a home loss against the Cubs.
Probable starting pitchers Steven Brault and Jon Lester duel it out for the Pirates and Cubs, respectively. Steven Brault is estimated from the model to throw for 6.069 innings, allowing 3.555 earned runs, with 5.921 K. The Cubs's Jon Lester is predicted to throw for 6.286 innings, allowing 3.296 earned runs, with 5.180 Ks.
Hitters Josh Bell from the Pirates and Kris Bryant from the Cubs will lead the offense for their teams. According to our game model, Josh Bell is estimated to bring in 0.906 RBIs and 0.793 runs scored, with an 0.372 OBP and 1.008 Ks. Kris Bryant is forecast to bring in 0.894 RBIs and 0.924 runs scored, with an 0.423 OBP and 1.087 Ks.
The Cubs are the best value for the money line based on the -145 odds and a forecasted 59.25% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 63.51% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 10.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC
Cubs Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward (CF) | 4.70 | 0.89 | 1.42 | 0.65 | 0.64 | 0.297 | 0.383 | 0.502 |
| Nick Castellanos (RF) | 4.80 | 0.85 | 1.49 | 0.63 | 0.42 | 0.304 | 0.364 | 0.517 |
| Kris Bryant (3B) | 4.36 | 0.93 | 1.43 | 0.90 | 0.68 | 0.321 | 0.424 | 0.586 |
| Anthony Rizzo (1B) | 4.21 | 0.84 | 1.33 | 0.90 | 0.62 | 0.311 | 0.424 | 0.556 |
| Javier Baez (SS) | 4.70 | 0.80 | 1.52 | 1.13 | 0.25 | 0.317 | 0.350 | 0.611 |
| Addison Russell (2B) | 4.21 | 0.68 | 1.16 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 0.268 | 0.361 | 0.442 |
| Ian Happ (LF) | 4.01 | 0.76 | 1.17 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 0.285 | 0.392 | 0.566 |
| Jonathan Lucroy (C) | 4.12 | 0.59 | 1.14 | 0.57 | 0.41 | 0.271 | 0.346 | 0.417 |
| Jon Lester (P) | 4.19 | 0.58 | 1.24 | 0.65 | 0.23 | 0.288 | 0.318 | 0.421 |
Pirates Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Newman (2B) | 4.72 | 0.70 | 1.46 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.303 | 0.348 | 0.424 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 4.38 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.335 | 0.412 | 0.535 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 4.56 | 0.66 | 1.35 | 0.79 | 0.18 | 0.290 | 0.333 | 0.499 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 4.17 | 0.71 | 1.20 | 0.89 | 0.56 | 0.281 | 0.368 | 0.587 |
| Melky Cabrera (RF) | 4.43 | 0.48 | 1.32 | 0.64 | 0.19 | 0.292 | 0.322 | 0.423 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 4.21 | 0.51 | 1.23 | 0.59 | 0.29 | 0.286 | 0.334 | 0.450 |
| Elias Diaz (C) | 4.05 | 0.40 | 1.04 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.250 | 0.311 | 0.316 |
| Erik Gonzalez (SS) | 3.89 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.214 | 0.280 | 0.287 |
| Steven Brault (P) | 4.13 | 0.41 | 1.38 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.326 | 0.321 | 0.336 |
Cubs Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Lester | 20.80 | 5.21 | 2.13 | 0.26 | 3.09 | 6.38 | 62.07% |
Pirates Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Brault | 19.64 | 6.04 | 3.26 | 0.40 | 3.69 | 6.00 | 30.53% |
Jon Lester Comes Out Victorious in a Cubs at Pirates Matchup, 2-0
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jon Lester
Arturo Pardavila III from Hoboken, NJ, USA License
August 17, 2019 -- The Cubs beat the Pirates 2 to 0 on the road.
The Cubs starter Jon Lester helped the home team limit the runs to allow the offense to pull out the win. Cubs's starter allowed 4 hits and 5 walks. A 4.23 ERA and 0.330 OBP in the appearance against the Pirates. Jon Lester allowed 0 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched. The Pirates had 3 strikeouts against Jon Lester.
In the loss at home, Starling Marte was not able to help the Pirates get the run needed against the Cubs. The Pirates hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. He had a 0.331 OBP with 3 at bats. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.288.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 20:32:13 UTC
Cubs Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Heyward (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.266 | 0.347 | 0.448 |
| Nick Castellanos (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.338 | 0.386 | 0.677 |
| Kris Bryant (3B) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.290 | 0.391 | 0.537 |
| Anthony Rizzo (1B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.391 | 0.503 |
| Javier Baez (SS) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.315 | 0.542 |
| Addison Russell (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.247 | 0.327 | 0.400 |
| Ian Happ (LF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.278 | 0.361 | 0.574 |
| Jonathan Lucroy (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.400 | 0.389 |
| Jon Lester (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.194 | 0.275 | 0.306 |
Pirates Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Newman (2B) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.301 | 0.346 | 0.420 |
| Bryan Reynolds (LF) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.329 | 0.403 | 0.526 |
| Starling Marte (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.288 | 0.331 | 0.492 |
| Josh Bell (1B) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.282 | 0.367 | 0.589 |
| Melky Cabrera (RF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.283 | 0.314 | 0.408 |
| Colin Moran (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.280 | 0.327 | 0.437 |
| Elias Diaz (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.249 | 0.306 | 0.314 |
| Erik Gonzalez (SS) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.188 | 0.263 | 0.246 |
| Steven Brault (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.346 | 0.370 | 0.385 |