Reds (+100) at Nationals (-110)
Over/Under: 10.5 (-110/-110)

Game Pick: Reds (Probablity Correct: 80.67%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 80.29%) INCORRECT

FinalRHE
Reds190
Nationals360
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 13, 2019 07:31:47 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 80.67%
Prob Home Team Wins: 19.33%
Average Comb Score: 15.93
Median Comb Score: 15.00
Std Comb Score: 6.21
Prob Over: 80.29%
Prob Under: 19.71%

Underdog Reds Led By Pitcher Alex Wood on the Road Forecasted to Beat the Nationals

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Starting pitcher Alex Wood at Trustmark Park in Pearl, Mississippi pitching for the AA affiliate of the Atlanta Braves.
Kaotate License

August 13, 2019 -- The Reds with a 88.28% forecasted chance to beat the Nationals on the road based on the Snoozle model.

Likely starting pitcher for the Reds, Alex Wood, will be paired with the hosting Nationals's pitcher Joe Ross. The Reds's Alex Wood is predicted to throw for 6.729 innings, allowing 1.952 earned runs, with 6.182 Ks. The Nationals starting hurler is predicted to throw for 17.671 outs, allow 5.054 earned runs, and a 0.000 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Aristides Aquino of the Reds will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Matt Adams. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to bat for 0.407 with 1.788 RBIs and 1.323 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Matt Adams 1B is predicted to have 0.713 RBIs and score 0.518 runs over an estimated 4.244 at-bats.

The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the +100 odds and a forecasted 88.28% win estimate. With an over/under of 10.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 72.78% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC


Reds Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Jesse Winker (LF)4.991.341.780.930.720.3510.4460.626
Joey Votto (1B)4.841.291.690.840.880.3440.4460.544
Eugenio Suarez (3B)4.771.381.641.450.760.3380.4390.703
Aristides Aquino (RF)4.901.412.021.750.590.4050.4710.817
Josh VanMeter (2B)4.531.181.701.050.780.3670.4710.613
Nick Senzel (CF)4.751.011.731.120.530.3560.4200.588
Jose Iglesias (SS)4.910.901.921.100.270.3830.4190.550
Kyle Farmer (C)4.720.921.641.200.240.3400.3890.599
Alex Wood (P)4.600.611.630.600.000.3450.3190.345

Nationals Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner (SS)4.710.791.440.450.450.3000.3630.503
Victor Robles (CF)4.530.701.120.500.290.2400.3160.420
Anthony Rendon (3B)4.290.871.400.740.540.3200.4090.604
Juan Soto (LF)4.030.751.200.770.800.2900.4080.544
Howie Kendrick (1B)4.330.641.420.840.350.3190.3760.540
Brian Dozier (2B)3.990.520.990.630.600.2410.3440.438
Gerardo Parra (RF)4.200.491.260.760.210.2910.3390.523
Yan Gomes (C)3.810.360.820.420.520.2080.3130.321
Joe Ross (P)2.850.000.000.000.000.0000.0000.000

Reds Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Alex Wood20.265.912.830.512.746.2169.61%

Nationals Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Joe Ross17.760.403.250.454.995.4115.41%

Juan Soto's Nationals at Home Beat the Reds, 3-1

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Juan Soto of the Washington Nationals fields a fly ball during a 2019 game at Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.
David B. King: Flickr, Blogspot License

August 13, 2019 -- The Nationals are victorious over the visiting Reds in a 3-1 win.

Slugger Juan Soto's leadership helped the Nationals against Reds. At the plate, the slugger had 0 strikeouts. He had a game batting average of 0.288. The Nationals' top hitter contributed 1 RBI and scored 1 run in the home outing. With 3 at bats, he had a game 0.402 OBP. The team's leading slugger had a 0.546 slugging percentage in the game.

Anthony Rendon 3B led the Nationals in hitting against the Reds's pitching. The hitter had a 0.597 slugging in the game. The Nationals hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the home outing. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Reds. In the game, he had a 0.316 batting average. The hitter had a 0.399 OBP with 4 at bats.

Aristides Aquino led the Reds in hitting against the Nationals's pitching. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 0 runs in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.385. Leading the team in slugging for the game, he had a 1.026 slugging percentage in the game. He had 0 Ks in the game. In 4 at bats, the hitter had a 0.429 OBP.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 02:32:25 UTC


Reds Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Jesse Winker (LF)4000.2690.3520.475
Joey Votto (1B)3000.2620.3530.412
Eugenio Suarez (3B)4000.2580.3420.535
Aristides Aquino (RF)4000.3850.4291.026
Josh VanMeter (2B)4000.2820.3730.473
Nick Senzel (CF)4100.2720.3270.449
Jose Iglesias (SS)4010.2920.3220.417
Kyle Farmer (C)3000.2480.2880.438
Alex Wood (P)1000.0000.0000.000

Nationals Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Trea Turner (SS)4000.2930.3540.485
Victor Robles (CF)4100.2400.3130.421
Anthony Rendon (3B)4000.3160.3990.597
Juan Soto (LF)3110.2880.4020.546
Howie Kendrick (1B)3000.3150.3660.526
Brian Dozier (2B)2110.2340.3360.431
Gerardo Parra (RF)2000.2470.3090.405
Yan Gomes (C)3000.2020.3040.317
Joe Ross (P)2000.2220.3000.222