Diamondbacks (+115) at Rockies (-125)
Over/Under: 12.0 (-115/-105) PUSH

Game Pick: Diamondbacks (Probablity Correct: 70.44%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 60.16%) PUSH

FinalRHE
Diamondbacks9110
Rockies3130
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 13, 2019 11:32:45 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 70.44%
Prob Home Team Wins: 29.56%
Average Comb Score: 11.63
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.09
Prob Over: 39.84%
Prob Under: 60.16%

Diamondbacks's Starting Pitcher Zac Gallen with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Rockies

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jon Gray prepares to deliver a pitch for the Colorado Rockies in August 2018
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License

August 13, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks are predicted with a 65.83% for a road win against the Rockies.

Likely starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, Zac Gallen, will be paired with the hosting Rockies's pitcher Jon Gray. Zac Gallen is estimated to have 2.316 earned runs, 22.061 outs, and 6.534 strike outs. Jon Gray is estimated from the model to throw for 6.296 innings, allowing 3.137 earned runs, with 6.611 K.

In a hitting matchup, Ketel Marte of the Diamondbacks will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Charlie Blackmon. According to our game model, Ketel Marte is estimated to have 0.767 RBIs and score 0.808 runs over an estimated 4.598 at-bats. The Rockies's Charlie Blackmon is estimated to score 0.710 runs, 0.582 RBIs and have a 0.345 OBP.

According to the +115 ML away odds and an predicted 65.83% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 70.16% over estimate and -105 line odds for 12.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC


Diamondbacks Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Jarrod Dyson (CF)4.740.781.380.540.650.2860.3730.399
David Peralta (LF)4.700.841.470.640.520.3060.3830.500
Ketel Marte (2B)4.670.841.641.040.480.3460.4100.615
Christian Walker (1B)4.390.791.290.870.630.2870.3820.521
Jake Lamb (3B)3.960.731.000.710.840.2470.3970.481
Josh Rojas (RF)4.400.631.300.750.400.2890.3530.453
Nick Ahmed (SS)4.260.661.260.690.460.2890.3590.475
Alex Avila (C)3.570.790.930.781.020.2550.4220.563
Zac Gallen (P)4.140.551.110.590.330.2610.3180.397

Rockies Predicted Hitters Performance

PlayerABRHRBIBBAVGOBPSLG
Charlie Blackmon (RF)4.540.731.380.590.250.2970.3400.548
Trevor Story (SS)4.330.681.170.630.360.2640.3240.532
Nolan Arenado (3B)4.200.571.190.660.390.2780.3410.500
Daniel Murphy (1B)4.210.451.110.500.290.2580.3040.423
Raimel Tapia (LF)4.190.401.110.480.210.2580.2920.412
Ryan McMahon (2B)3.840.410.950.460.440.2400.3170.403
Yonathan Daza (CF)3.900.310.800.300.270.1990.2520.272
Dom Nunez (C)3.740.410.880.370.290.2290.2880.366
Jeff Hoffman (P)3.690.370.810.320.230.2120.2600.317

Diamondbacks Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Zac Gallen21.996.662.170.152.396.7769.89%

Rockies Pitching Predicted Performance

PlayerOutsKBBHBPERIPW %
Jeff Hoffman19.601.093.830.393.676.0126.96%

Rockies Hurler Jeff Hoffman Effort Not Enough Against Diamondbacks, 3-9

Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos

  

Jeff Hoffman on July 15, 2017
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 13, 2019 -- The Rockies destroyed at home against the Diamondbacks, 3 to 9.

The Jeff Hoffman start could not keep the Diamondbacks hitters at bay. The Rockies pitcher had a 0.360 OBP for his appearance. The Rockies starter allowed 6 hits and 1 walk. The pitcher allowed 7 earned runs over 2.0 innings pitched.

Charlie Blackmon led the Rockies in a losing team performance against the Diamondbacks. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts. The hitter had a 0.369 OBP with 5 at bats. The hitter had a 0.597 slugging in the game. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.325.

Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:55 UTC


Diamondbacks Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Jarrod Dyson (CF)5110.2590.3370.369
David Peralta (LF)5120.2780.3480.461
Ketel Marte (2B)3100.3150.3770.558
Christian Walker (1B)5120.2650.3530.483
Jake Lamb (3B)4200.2250.3650.432
Josh Rojas (RF)3100.4290.5000.429
Nick Ahmed (SS)4130.2710.3310.453
Alex Avila (C)3000.2270.3880.491
Zac Gallen (P)2100.1670.1670.167

Rockies Hitters Performance

PlayerABRRBIAVGOBPSLG
Charlie Blackmon (RF)5100.3250.3690.597
Trevor Story (SS)5000.2880.3510.568
Nolan Arenado (3B)4010.3020.3630.537
Daniel Murphy (1B)5010.2840.3300.462
Raimel Tapia (LF)4000.2890.3250.455
Ryan McMahon (2B)4000.2640.3440.440
Yonathan Daza (CF)3000.1620.2050.162
Dom Nunez (C)4110.2500.2501.000
Jeff Hoffman (P)1000.2140.2140.214