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Diamondbacks (+115) at Rockies (-125)
Over/Under: 12.0 (-115/-105) PUSH
Game Pick: Diamondbacks (Probablity Correct: 70.44%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 60.16%) PUSH
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| Rockies | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 13, 2019 11:32:45 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 70.44%
Prob Home Team Wins: 29.56%
Average Comb Score: 11.63
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.09
Prob Over: 39.84%
Prob Under: 60.16%
Diamondbacks's Starting Pitcher Zac Gallen with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Rockies
Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jon Gray prepares to deliver a pitch for the Colorado Rockies in August 2018
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License
August 13, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks are predicted with a 65.83% for a road win against the Rockies.
Likely starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, Zac Gallen, will be paired with the hosting Rockies's pitcher Jon Gray. Zac Gallen is estimated to have 2.316 earned runs, 22.061 outs, and 6.534 strike outs. Jon Gray is estimated from the model to throw for 6.296 innings, allowing 3.137 earned runs, with 6.611 K.
In a hitting matchup, Ketel Marte of the Diamondbacks will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Charlie Blackmon. According to our game model, Ketel Marte is estimated to have 0.767 RBIs and score 0.808 runs over an estimated 4.598 at-bats. The Rockies's Charlie Blackmon is estimated to score 0.710 runs, 0.582 RBIs and have a 0.345 OBP.
According to the +115 ML away odds and an predicted 65.83% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 70.16% over estimate and -105 line odds for 12.0 runs.
Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC
Diamondbacks Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Dyson (CF) | 4.74 | 0.78 | 1.38 | 0.54 | 0.65 | 0.286 | 0.373 | 0.399 |
| David Peralta (LF) | 4.70 | 0.84 | 1.47 | 0.64 | 0.52 | 0.306 | 0.383 | 0.500 |
| Ketel Marte (2B) | 4.67 | 0.84 | 1.64 | 1.04 | 0.48 | 0.346 | 0.410 | 0.615 |
| Christian Walker (1B) | 4.39 | 0.79 | 1.29 | 0.87 | 0.63 | 0.287 | 0.382 | 0.521 |
| Jake Lamb (3B) | 3.96 | 0.73 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.247 | 0.397 | 0.481 |
| Josh Rojas (RF) | 4.40 | 0.63 | 1.30 | 0.75 | 0.40 | 0.289 | 0.353 | 0.453 |
| Nick Ahmed (SS) | 4.26 | 0.66 | 1.26 | 0.69 | 0.46 | 0.289 | 0.359 | 0.475 |
| Alex Avila (C) | 3.57 | 0.79 | 0.93 | 0.78 | 1.02 | 0.255 | 0.422 | 0.563 |
| Zac Gallen (P) | 4.14 | 0.55 | 1.11 | 0.59 | 0.33 | 0.261 | 0.318 | 0.397 |
Rockies Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (RF) | 4.54 | 0.73 | 1.38 | 0.59 | 0.25 | 0.297 | 0.340 | 0.548 |
| Trevor Story (SS) | 4.33 | 0.68 | 1.17 | 0.63 | 0.36 | 0.264 | 0.324 | 0.532 |
| Nolan Arenado (3B) | 4.20 | 0.57 | 1.19 | 0.66 | 0.39 | 0.278 | 0.341 | 0.500 |
| Daniel Murphy (1B) | 4.21 | 0.45 | 1.11 | 0.50 | 0.29 | 0.258 | 0.304 | 0.423 |
| Raimel Tapia (LF) | 4.19 | 0.40 | 1.11 | 0.48 | 0.21 | 0.258 | 0.292 | 0.412 |
| Ryan McMahon (2B) | 3.84 | 0.41 | 0.95 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.240 | 0.317 | 0.403 |
| Yonathan Daza (CF) | 3.90 | 0.31 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.199 | 0.252 | 0.272 |
| Dom Nunez (C) | 3.74 | 0.41 | 0.88 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.229 | 0.288 | 0.366 |
| Jeff Hoffman (P) | 3.69 | 0.37 | 0.81 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.212 | 0.260 | 0.317 |
Diamondbacks Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 21.99 | 6.66 | 2.17 | 0.15 | 2.39 | 6.77 | 69.89% |
Rockies Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Hoffman | 19.60 | 1.09 | 3.83 | 0.39 | 3.67 | 6.01 | 26.96% |
Rockies Hurler Jeff Hoffman Effort Not Enough Against Diamondbacks, 3-9
Wed, Aug 14, 2019 | Emma Botos
Jeff Hoffman on July 15, 2017
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 13, 2019 -- The Rockies destroyed at home against the Diamondbacks, 3 to 9.
The Jeff Hoffman start could not keep the Diamondbacks hitters at bay. The Rockies pitcher had a 0.360 OBP for his appearance. The Rockies starter allowed 6 hits and 1 walk. The pitcher allowed 7 earned runs over 2.0 innings pitched.
Charlie Blackmon led the Rockies in a losing team performance against the Diamondbacks. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts. The hitter had a 0.369 OBP with 5 at bats. The hitter had a 0.597 slugging in the game. His team's best hitter had 0 RBI and scored 1 run in the game. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.325.
Posted at Wed, August 14, 2019 13:06:55 UTC
Diamondbacks Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Dyson (CF) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.259 | 0.337 | 0.369 |
| David Peralta (LF) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.278 | 0.348 | 0.461 |
| Ketel Marte (2B) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.315 | 0.377 | 0.558 |
| Christian Walker (1B) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.265 | 0.353 | 0.483 |
| Jake Lamb (3B) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0.225 | 0.365 | 0.432 |
| Josh Rojas (RF) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.429 | 0.500 | 0.429 |
| Nick Ahmed (SS) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.271 | 0.331 | 0.453 |
| Alex Avila (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.227 | 0.388 | 0.491 |
| Zac Gallen (P) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.167 | 0.167 | 0.167 |
Rockies Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (RF) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.325 | 0.369 | 0.597 |
| Trevor Story (SS) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.288 | 0.351 | 0.568 |
| Nolan Arenado (3B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.302 | 0.363 | 0.537 |
| Daniel Murphy (1B) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0.284 | 0.330 | 0.462 |
| Raimel Tapia (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.289 | 0.325 | 0.455 |
| Ryan McMahon (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.264 | 0.344 | 0.440 |
| Yonathan Daza (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.162 | 0.205 | 0.162 |
| Dom Nunez (C) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.250 | 0.250 | 1.000 |
| Jeff Hoffman (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.214 | 0.214 | 0.214 |