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Willie Calhoun's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Rangers Over the Twins
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Luis Urias (left) of the San Antonio Missions and Ariel Jurado of the Frisco RoughRiders during the 2017 Texas League All-Star Game
Flickr user Th3TruthPhotos License
August 17, 2019 -- The Rangers under perform at home with a 76.60% chance to lose against the Twins based on our model.
The hosting Rangers have Ariel Jurado in the rotation against the Twins's pitcher Jose Berrios. Our model forecasts the Rangers pitcher will have an outing for 6.164 innings, allowing 3.314 earned runs, with a 3.104 walks. The Twins starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.739 outs, allow 1.963 earned runs, and a 0.029 probability of a complete game.
Willie Calhoun, Rangers's top hitter, will slug it out against Mitch Garver in today's game. According to our game model, Willie Calhoun NA is estimated to bring in 0.637 RBIs and 0.484 runs scored, with an 0.285 OBP and 0.798 Ks. Mitch Garver is forecast to bring in 1.031 RBIs and 1.005 runs scored, with an 0.364 OBP and 1.356 Ks.
With -160 money line odds and a estimated 76.60% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Twins over the Twins. With a predicted 62.00% likelihood and -115 odds at 11.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC