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The Visiting Cubs with Top Predicted Hitter Kris Bryant Expected Winner Over the Phillies

Thu, Aug 15, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Yu Darvish on August 5, 2017.
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 15, 2019 -- The visiting Cubs has an estimated 79.95% chance to overcome the Phillies based on our model.

The Cubs have Yu Darvish as the probable starting pitcher against Drew Smyly. The Snoozle model estimates the Cubs pitcher will have an outing for 6.662 innings, allowing 2.458 earned runs, with 2.820 walks. Drew Smyly is estimated from the model to throw for 5.700 innings, allowing 4.439 earned runs, with 5.829 Ks.

Kris Bryant, Cubs's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Scott Kingery in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Kris Bryant is predicted to bat for 0.351 with 1.076 RBIs and 1.144 runs scored. The Phillies's Scott Kingery is estimated to score 0.500 runs, 0.612 RBIs and have a 0.316 OBP.

According to the -145 ML away odds and an predicted 79.95% chance to win, the Cubs are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 74.32% over likelihood and -115 odds.

Posted at Thu, August 15, 2019 13:03:49 UTC