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The Visiting Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Expected Winner Over the Orioles

Sat, Aug 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Blue Jays at Orioles 04/11/15
Keith Allison License

August 10, 2019 -- According to our model, the Astros predicted to over perform on the road against the Orioles with a 58.81% chance to win.

On the mound for the Astros will be Aaron Sanchez matched up against Aaron Brooks. The Astros's Aaron Sanchez is predicted to throw for 6.083 innings, allowing 3.631 earned runs, with 6.617 Ks. Aaron Brooks is estimated from the model to throw for 5.911 innings, allowing 3.857 earned runs, with 5.589 Ks.

Yordan Alvarez, Astros's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Trey Mancini in today's game. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to have 1.266 RBIs and score 1.046 runs over an estimated 4.353 at-bats. The Orioles's Trey Mancini is estimated to score 0.985 runs, 0.929 RBIs and have a 0.395 OBP.

The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +230 odds and a predicted 41.19% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 71.10% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 11.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, August 10, 2019 13:04:21 UTC