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The At-Home Underdog Indians with Top Predicted Hitter Yasiel Puig Forecasted Winner Over the Red Sox

Mon, Aug 12, 2019 | Emma Botos

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w:Yasiel Puig for the 2017 Los Angeles Dodgers
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August 12, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Francisco Lindor and Rafael Devers, our model estimates the Indians have an estimated 56.90% likelihood of defeating the Red Sox.

On the mound for the Indians will be Zach Plesac paired against Eduardo Rodriguez. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Zach Plesac will have 2.046 earned runs, a predicted 22.458 outs, and 7.663 strike outs. Eduardo Rodriguez is estimated to have 2.638 earned runs, 21.385 outs, and 5.028 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Yasiel Puig of the Indians will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger J.D. Martinez. Yasiel Puig is forecast to bat for 0.308 with 0.738 RBIs and 0.579 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, J.D. Martinez is predicted to bat for 0.277 with 0.624 RBIs and 0.566 runs scored.

For this matchup Indians are the best value on the money line bets with on the +100 home ML odds and a forecasted 56.90% chance to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 66.66% over estimate and +100 line odds for 10.0 runs.

Posted at Mon, August 12, 2019 13:03:47 UTC