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Reds Led By Pitcher Luis Castillo at Home Expected to Beat the Cardinals

Fri, Aug 16, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Cardinal Pitcher Adam Wainwright
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August 16, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Reds to take the home win over the Cardinals with a 72.61% estimate of being correct.

On the mound for the Reds will be Luis Castillo paired against Adam Wainwright. Our model forecasts the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.971 innings, allowing 1.856 earned runs, with a 2.539 walks. The Cardinals's Adam Wainwright is predicted to throw for 6.276 innings, allowing 3.244 earned runs, with 7.219 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Aristides Aquino of the Reds will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Marcell Ozuna. According to our game model, Aristides Aquino is estimated to bring in 1.200 RBIs and 0.970 runs scored, with an 0.386 OBP and 1.076 Ks. According to our game model, Marcell Ozuna is estimated to have 0.560 RBIs and score 0.504 runs over an estimated 3.995 at-bats.

Based on the -145 odds and an estimated 72.61% chance to win, the Reds are the best value for the money line. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-105)/under(-115) odds, the 9.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Fri, August 16, 2019 13:04:11 UTC