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Orioles Predicted to Fall at Home to Astros Despite Trey Mancini's Effort
Sun, Aug 11, 2019 | Emma Botos
Justin Verlander ready to throw his pitch, March 2, 2019
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 11, 2019 -- The Orioles under perform at home with a 88.76% chance to lose against the Astros based on our model.
The hosting Orioles have Asher Wojciechowski in the rotation against the Astros's pitcher Justin Verlander. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Asher Wojciechowski will have 3.311 earned runs, a predicted 20.188 outs, and 5.338 strike outs. The Astros starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 24.783 outs, allow 0.991 earned runs, and a 0.158 probability of a complete game.
Expected in today's lineup will be top sluggers Trey Mancini and Yordan Alvarez from Orioles and Astros, respectively. The Orioles's Trey Mancini is estimated to score 0.331 run, 0.329 RBIs and have a 0.243 OBP. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bring in 1.061 RBIs and 0.886 runs scored, with an 0.420 OBP and 1.197 Ks.
According to the -370 ML away odds and an predicted 88.76% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. The over/under line of 9.5 runs with -105 over odds and a predicted 60.19% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sun, August 11, 2019 13:04:21 UTC