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Orioles Forecasted to Lose at Home to Red Sox Despite Trey Mancini's Effort

Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Trey Mancini
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 17, 2019 -- The Orioles has an estimated 66.28% likelihood to lose to the Red Sox based on our model.

Likely visiting starter Asher Wojciechowski will will duel it out with the Red Sox probable starter Eduardo Rodriguez. The Snoozle model estimates the Orioles pitcher will have an outing for 6.260 innings, allowing 3.271 earned runs, with 3.014 walks. Our model forecasts the Red Sox pitcher will have an outing for 6.790 innings, allowing 2.227 earned runs, with a 2.602 walks.

Trey Mancini, Orioles's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Rafael Devers in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Trey Mancini is predicted to bat for 0.263 with 0.644 RBIs and 0.633 runs scored. The Red Sox's Rafael Devers is estimated to score 0.843 runs, 0.773 RBIs and have a 0.372 OBP.

The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +290 odds and a forecasted 33.72% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.85% over estimate and +100 line odds for 10.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC