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Nationals Forecasted to Lose at Home to Mets Despite Anthony Rendon's Effort

Sun, Aug 11, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Jacob deGrom of the New York Mets, July 31, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 11, 2019 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Nationals have a 61.06% chance to lose to the home town Mets.

This game is a match up between the Nationals's Anibal Sanchez and the Mets's Jacob deGrom. The Nationals's Anibal Sanchez is predicted to throw for 6.605 innings, allowing 2.507 earned runs, with 6.369 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Jacob deGrom will have 1.933 earned runs, a predicted 22.529 outs, and 6.691 strike outs.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Anthony Rendon and Jeff McNeil from Nationals and Mets, respectively. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Anthony Rendon is predicted to bat for 0.272 with 0.597 RBIs and 0.573 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle model, Jeff McNeil is predicted to have 0.495 RBIs and score 0.728 runs over an estimated 4.483 at-bats.

For this game Nationals are the best value on the money line bets with on the +180 away odds and a predicted 38.94% likelihood to win. Based on the over(-120)/under(+100) odds, the 7.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Sun, August 11, 2019 13:04:21 UTC