Matt Olson's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Athletics Over the Astros

Fri, Aug 16, 2019 | Emma Botos


Justin Verlander ready to throw his pitch, March 2, 2019
D. Benjamin Miller License

August 16, 2019 -- The Athletics have a 85.55% likelihood to fall to the Astros with a based on our model.

Likely starting pitcher Tanner Roark for the Athletics will be matched up with the Astros probable starter Justin Verlander. The Athletics starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.792 outs, allow 2.901 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. Justin Verlander is estimated to have 1.089 earned runs, 24.518 outs, and 6.070 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Matt Olson of the Athletics will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Yordan Alvarez. The Athletics's Matt Olson is estimated to score 0.307 runs, 0.385 RBIs and have a 0.237 OBP. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bring in 0.952 RBIs and 0.790 runs scored, with an 0.395 OBP and 1.123 Ks.

The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the -200 odds and a forecasted 85.55% win estimate. The over/under line of 9.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 66.65% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Fri, August 16, 2019 13:04:11 UTC