Mariners Predicted to Fall at Home to Reds Despite Austin Nola's Effort

Tue, Sep 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Trevor Bauer
Erik Daniel Drost on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 10, 2019 -- The Mariners under perform at home with a 68.32% chance to lose against the Reds based on our model.

The hosting Mariners have Justus Sheffield in the rotation against the Reds's pitcher Trevor Bauer. Our model forecasts the Mariners pitcher will have an outing for 6.235 innings, allowing 3.199 earned runs, with a 3.097 walks. Trevor Bauer is estimated to have 2.197 earned runs, 21.993 outs, and 7.822 strike outs.

Austin Nola, Mariners's top hitter, will slug it out against Eugenio Suarez in today's game. The Mariners's Austin Nola is estimated to score 0.547 runs, 0.591 RBIs and have a 0.324 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Eugenio Suarez is predicted to bat for 0.284 with 1.017 RBIs and 0.825 runs scored.

The Reds are the best value for the money line based on the -125 odds and a forecasted 68.32% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 52.27% likelihood and -105 odds, the over line with 9.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, September 10, 2019 13:05:00 UTC