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Marcell Ozuna's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Cardinals Over the Home Underdog Reds
Sat, Aug 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Miles Mikolas pitching for the St.Louis Cardinals in 2018.
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August 17, 2019 -- On the road, the Cardinals has a 57.81% chance to lose to the Reds from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Likely starting pitcher for the Cardinals, Miles Mikolas, will be paired with the hosting Reds's pitcher Anthony DeSclafani. The Snoozle model estimates the Cardinals pitcher will have an outing for 6.593 innings, allowing 2.600 earned runs, with 2.280 walks. The Reds starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.989 outs, allow 2.225 earned runs, and a 0.015 probability of a complete game.
The Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna and the Reds's Aristides Aquino will slug it out from the plate. According to our game model, Marcell Ozuna is estimated to have 0.625 RBIs and score 0.566 runs over an estimated 4.059 at-bats. Aristides Aquino is forecast to bat for 0.295 with 0.988 RBIs and 0.768 runs scored.
For this matchup Reds are the best value on the money line bets with on the +100 home ML odds and a forecasted 57.81% chance to win. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 55.88% over estimate and -105 line odds for 9.0 runs.
Posted at Sat, August 17, 2019 13:06:34 UTC