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Hunter Pence's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Rangers Over the Twins

Fri, Aug 16, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Jake Odorizzi
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 16, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Rangers have a 64.06% take a home loss against the Twins.

Likely starting pitcher Mike Minor for the Rangers will be matched up with the Twins probable starter Jake Odorizzi. The Rangers starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.437 outs, allow 2.530 earned runs, and a 0.008 probability of a complete game. The Twins starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.213 outs, allow 1.895 earned runs, and a 0.020 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Hunter Pence of the Rangers will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Miguel Sano. Hunter Pence RF is forecast to bat for 0.260 with 0.638 RBIs and 0.522 runs scored. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Miguel Sano is predicted to bat for 0.224 with 0.703 RBIs and 0.727 runs scored.

With -105 money line odds and a estimated 64.06% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Twins over the Twins. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 66.85% over estimate and -115 line odds for 10.0 runs.

Posted at Fri, August 16, 2019 13:04:11 UTC