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Dodgers's Starting Pitcher Kenta Maeda with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Braves
Fri, Aug 16, 2019 | Emma Botos
Will Smith
Keith Allison on Flickr License
August 16, 2019 -- On the road, the Dodgers take the Braves for a 58.27% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.
This game is a match up between the Dodgers's Kenta Maeda and the Braves's Michael Soroka. The Snoozle model estimates the Dodgers pitcher will have an outing for 6.784 innings, allowing 2.137 earned runs, with 2.869 walks. The Braves starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.734 outs, allow 2.291 earned runs, and a 0.012 probability of a complete game.
In a hitting matchup, Will Smith of the Dodgers will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Freddie Freeman. According to our game model, Will Smith is estimated to have 0.842 RBIs and score 0.777 runs over an estimated 4.324 at-bats. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bat for 0.272 with 0.580 RBIs and 0.566 runs scored.
With +100 money line odds and a estimated 58.27% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Dodgers over the Dodgers. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 68.46% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs.
Posted at Fri, August 16, 2019 13:04:11 UTC