Diamondbacks's Starting Pitcher Zac Gallen with a Predicted Win Over the Odds Favorite Rockies

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos


Jon Gray prepares to deliver a pitch for the Colorado Rockies in August 2018
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License

August 13, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks are predicted with a 65.83% for a road win against the Rockies.

Likely starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, Zac Gallen, will be paired with the hosting Rockies's pitcher Jon Gray. Zac Gallen is estimated to have 2.316 earned runs, 22.061 outs, and 6.534 strike outs. Jon Gray is estimated from the model to throw for 6.296 innings, allowing 3.137 earned runs, with 6.611 K.

In a hitting matchup, Ketel Marte of the Diamondbacks will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Charlie Blackmon. According to our game model, Ketel Marte is estimated to have 0.767 RBIs and score 0.808 runs over an estimated 4.598 at-bats. The Rockies's Charlie Blackmon is estimated to score 0.710 runs, 0.582 RBIs and have a 0.345 OBP.

According to the +115 ML away odds and an predicted 65.83% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 70.16% over estimate and -105 line odds for 12.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC