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Derek Fisher's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Blue Jays Over the Yankees

Sat, Aug 10, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Chad Green of the New York Yankees delivers a pitch during a 2017 game at Camden Yards in Baltimore
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License

August 10, 2019 -- The Blue Jays have a 51.73% likelihood to fall to the Yankees with a based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Jacob Waguespack and Chad Green duel it out for the Blue Jays and Yankees, respectively. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Jacob Waguespack will have 3.549 earned runs, a predicted 19.979 outs, and 5.174 strike outs. Chad Green is estimated to have 3.245 earned runs, 20.401 outs, and 7.243 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Derek Fisher of the Blue Jays will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Mike Tauchman. According to our game model, Derek Fisher is estimated to bring in 1.004 RBIs and 0.785 runs scored, with an 0.332 OBP and 0.298 Ks. Mike Tauchman is forecast to bring in 0.888 RBIs and 0.759 runs scored, with an 0.390 OBP and 1.290 Ks.

For this matchup Blue Jays are the best value on the money line bets with on the +150 home ML odds and a forecasted 48.27% chance to win. With an over/under of 11.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 61.26% over likelihood and -105 odds.

Posted at Sat, August 10, 2019 13:04:21 UTC