Advertisement


Carlos Santana's Stick is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Indians Over the Red Sox

Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

Chris Sale
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

August 13, 2019 -- The Indians have a 57.37% likelihood to fall to the Red Sox with a based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Mike Clevinger and Chris Sale duel it out for the Indians and Red Sox, respectively. Mike Clevinger is estimated from the model to throw for 6.738 innings, allowing 2.350 earned runs, with 6.308 Ks. The Red Sox's Chris Sale is predicted to throw for 6.965 innings, allowing 1.968 earned runs, with 5.635 Ks.

The Indians's Carlos Santana and the Red Sox's Rafael Devers will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Carlos Santana 1B is predicted to have 0.500 RBIs and score 0.473 runs over an estimated 3.812 at-bats. The Red Sox's Rafael Devers from the plate is forecast to score 0.595 runs, 0.567 RBIs and have a 0.314 OBP.

The Red Sox are the best value for the money line based on the -115 odds and a forecasted 57.37% win estimate. With a predicted 55.35% likelihood and -120 odds at 8.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC