Braves Predicted to Fall at Home to Underdog Cardinals Despite Freddie Freeman's Effort

Wed, Oct 9, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Jack Flaherty
Minda Haas Kuhlmann from Omaha License

October 9, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Braves are predicted with a 59.09% to lose at home against the Cardinals.

On the mound for the Braves will be Mike Foltynewicz paired against Jack Flaherty. Mike Foltynewicz is estimated from the model to throw for 6.706 innings, allowing 2.267 earned runs, with 6.419 Ks. The Cardinals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.724 outs, allow 1.764 earned runs, and a 0.032 probability of a complete game.

Freddie Freeman, Braves's top hitter, will slug it out against Marcell Ozuna in today's game. The Braves's Freddie Freeman 1B is estimated to score 0.487 runs, 0.480 RBIs and have a 0.322 OBP. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Marcell Ozuna is predicted to bat for 0.232 with 0.626 RBIs and 0.528 runs scored.

For this game the Cardinals are the best value on the money line bets with on the -115 away odds and a predicted 59.09% likelihood to win. With a predicted 53.12% likelihood and -110 odds at 8.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Wed, October 9, 2019 13:01:31 UTC