Astros Led By Pitcher Justin Verlander at Home Expected to Beat the Nationals

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Emma Botos


Stephen Strasburg
Keith Allison on Flickr License

October 29, 2019 -- The Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model estimates the Astros to take the home win over the Nationals with a 70.19% estimate of being correct.

Probable starting pitchers Justin Verlander and Stephen Strasburg duel it out for the Astros and Nationals, respectively. Justin Verlander is estimated from the model to throw for 7.372 innings, allowing 1.387 earned runs, with 6.021 K. The Nationals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.185 outs, allow 2.139 earned runs, and a 0.016 probability of a complete game.

In a hitting matchup, Yordan Alvarez of the Astros will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Anthony Rendon. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bat for 0.264 with 0.665 RBIs and 0.559 runs scored. The Nationals's Anthony Rendon from the plate is forecast to score 0.439 runs, 0.387 RBIs and have a 0.312 OBP.

Based on the -177 odds and an estimated 70.19% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.47% over estimate and -118 line odds for 7.5 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:39 UTC